Colorado St.
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
109  Alex Muntefering SR 31:54
131  Christian Meyer SR 31:59
150  Ben Larson SR 32:04
191  Jacob Morgan SO 32:12
201  Andrew Goodman JR 32:12
384  Jefferson Abbey FR 32:45
630  Alex Balsiger SR 33:15
844  Adam Hartman FR 33:37
906  Troy Gus Waneka FR 33:43
1,382  Joe Marchand JR 34:22
National Rank #27 of 311
Mountain Region Rank #6 of 18
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 87.1%
Most Likely Finish 26th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.7%
Top 10 at Nationals 5.5%
Top 20 at Nationals 33.2%


Regional Champion 0.1%
Top 5 in Regional 43.6%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Alex Muntefering Christian Meyer Ben Larson Jacob Morgan Andrew Goodman Jefferson Abbey Alex Balsiger Adam Hartman Troy Gus Waneka Joe Marchand
Roy Griak Invitational (Gold) 09/28 562 31:56 32:11 31:55 32:02 31:53 33:00 33:30 33:36 34:14
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/04 612 31:47 32:12 32:05 32:34 31:49 32:48 33:27 34:31
Mountain West Championships 11/01 554 32:04 31:59 31:54 32:30 31:59 31:59 33:16 33:00 33:53
Mountain Region Championships 11/15 575 31:53 31:46 31:59 32:05 32:41 32:23 33:59
NCAA Championship 11/23 711 31:51 31:50 32:55 31:59 33:07 33:52 34:29





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 87.1% 21.6 509 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.1 1.5 1.7 1.6 2.1 2.2 3.0 2.8 2.8 3.7 3.7 4.2 4.3 4.9 5.6 5.3 5.5 6.1 6.1 5.7 4.7 3.4 2.0
Region Championship 100% 5.6 165 0.1 0.3 1.7 12.5 29.1 38.7 14.8 2.1 0.5 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alex Muntefering 88.8% 97.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
Christian Meyer 87.8% 107.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
Ben Larson 87.4% 121.5
Jacob Morgan 87.2% 141.8
Andrew Goodman 87.1% 141.9
Jefferson Abbey 87.1% 207.9
Alex Balsiger 87.2% 237.1


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alex Muntefering 24.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.4 2.3 2.6 3.0 3.6 3.4 3.8 3.7 4.4 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.5 3.4
Christian Meyer 27.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.1 1.6 1.9 2.5 2.6 3.2 3.7 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.3 3.5 3.8
Ben Larson 31.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.4 1.4 2.1 2.5 2.6 2.8 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.6
Jacob Morgan 35.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.5 2.0 2.0 2.4 2.6
Andrew Goodman 36.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.3 1.5 2.1 1.9 2.4 2.7
Jefferson Abbey 55.8
Alex Balsiger 67.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 1
2 0.3% 100.0% 0.3 0.3 2
3 1.7% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.7 3
4 12.5% 99.4% 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.8 1.1 1.3 2.1 2.5 1.9 1.3 0.2 0.1 12.4 4
5 29.1% 97.8% 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.6 2.6 4.1 5.0 4.8 4.5 3.4 1.8 0.6 28.5 5
6 38.7% 90.9% 0.1 0.5 2.3 2.8 2.9 4.9 6.6 7.8 7.4 3.5 35.2 6
7 14.8% 60.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.9 3.2 5.9 8.9 7
8 2.1% 4.7% 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.0 0.1 8
9 0.5% 0.5 9
10 0.2% 0.2 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
Total 100% 87.1% 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.4 1.1 3.1 6.3 9.1 11.2 13.5 14.4 14.4 12.7 12.9 0.3 86.7




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Notre Dame 95.9% 1.0 1.0
New Mexico 93.9% 1.0 0.9
Air Force 68.6% 1.0 0.7
Florida State 67.8% 1.0 0.7
Virginia 64.2% 1.0 0.6
Georgia 55.0% 1.0 0.6
Minnesota 17.1% 1.0 0.2
Arizona State 8.9% 1.0 0.1
Southern Utah 6.7% 1.0 0.1
North Carolina St. 5.2% 1.0 0.1
Illinois 4.7% 1.0 0.0
Oklahoma 4.4% 1.0 0.0
Boise State 3.3% 1.0 0.0
Butler 1.4% 1.0 0.0
Lamar 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Lipscomb 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Michigan State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Total 5.0
Minimum 2.0
Maximum 9.0